The Abatement Curve — the supply curve of clean air

PROTOTYPE

Whose air are we cleaning?

Clean air is counted in person·µg/m³ (p·µg/m³) — µg/m³ of pollution avoided, weighted by how many people breathe it.

What changes when you pick a different place

One person·µg/m³ is one person breathing one microgram per cubic metre less fine-particle pollution for a year. Pick the place the curve is priced for: every intervention is re-scored by what it delivers to the people who live there — the whole Bay Area, or a single county. Bigger is better.

Price mode

Honesty ledger — what is assumed here
Every pollutant falls together — a plan that cuts X% of an asset's CO₂ is assumed to cut X% of its soot- and smog-forming emissions (SO₂, NOx, ammonia, VOCs, PM) too. That is a modeling assumption, not sourced data: Climate TRACE's per-asset emission-reduction plans exist but are permission-locked to this project (verified 2026-07-18), and those plans cover CO₂ only. Real per-asset plans replace this assumption when access lands.
30% is cuttable — the same flat, invented depth is applied to every asset, rather than an asset-by-asset engineering estimate. The Ceiling at 30% cut figure on the right is what that depth would buy across every intervention, including the small grouped ones no budget on this page can reach.
Dollar prices (only in $ mode): industry $4k/t · power $3k/t · agriculture $800/t · waste $1.5k/t · other $5k/t — round numbers chosen to demonstrate the budget slider, not cost data. A bar's plotted price in that mode is its band × tonnes cut ÷ clean air bought. Climate TRACE's real cost curve covers CO₂ only, is still under construction, and has no power-sector coverage yet; it replaces these bands when it lands.
What is real: the modeled pollution-transport (source→receptor) matrix, the asset locations, Climate TRACE's 2025 emissions tonnes, and every piece of benefit arithmetic built on top of ①+②.

Method preview: the emission cuts priced on this curve are assumed, not measured — it demonstrates the method, not a result to cite.

funded by this budget not yet funded many small ones, grouped (not fundable here) budget frontier · marginal price hover a bar for its details